Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lehtera wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 54.2% vs Wingels 47.0% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 71.8%
Defensive zone
Wingels 55.8%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 56.4%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Lehtera
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lehtera
Wingels
Last 5: Lehtera 3-2 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
1
2
Lehtera
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Wingels
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (142)
46.6% (388)
+11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.8% (13)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.6% (54)
-9.3%
On even strength, Lehtera has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Lehtera is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Lehtera shoots left. Wingels is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Wingels
Home
61.1% (90)
46.6% (191)
Away
50.8% (59)
46.2% (264)
By Period
Lehtera
Wingels
P1
62.2%
49.0%
P2
47.5%
41.8%
P3
64.4%
48.3%
Final 5 min
64.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
57.0%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |