Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 58.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 59.7%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 53.0%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Smith
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Smith
Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Smith
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.7% (2,523)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
54.3% (35)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
50.7% (473)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Smith
Mitchell
Home
53.8% (860)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
49.8% (805)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Smith
Mitchell
P1
52.1%
54.8%
P2
50.2%
48.1%
P3
53.3%
49.6%
OT
62.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |