Scouting Report
Brad Boyes holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyes wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 53.8% vs Mitchell 49.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 83.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 79.0%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 56.5%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Boyes
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyes
Mitchell
Last 6: Boyes 3-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
3
1
Boyes
Mitchell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Boyes
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Boyes
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (124)
48.8% (699)
+2.8%
Power Play
71.4% (42)
28.6% (7)
+42.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.9% (108)
-9.0%
On power play, Boyes has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Boyes is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Boyes shoots right. Mitchell is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Boyes
Mitchell
Home
54.8% (93)
50.0% (436)
Away
57.5% (80)
47.9% (378)
By Period
Boyes
Mitchell
P1
60.0%
49.4%
P2
58.7%
48.4%
P3
47.4%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |