Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Mitchell 54.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 86.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 75.7%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Larkin
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Larkin
Mitchell
Last 8: Larkin 5-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Larkin
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
53.8% (595)
-8.3%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
66.7% (6)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
57.0% (151)
-7.0%
On power play, Mitchell has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Larkin is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Larkin shoots left. Mitchell is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Larkin
Mitchell
Home
47.0% (181)
57.9% (375)
Away
44.2% (251)
51.2% (377)
By Period
Larkin
Mitchell
P1
42.7%
57.9%
P2
52.4%
47.5%
P3
41.8%
58.8%
OT
20.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |