Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Mitchell 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 62.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 84.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 60.5%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Spezza
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Spezza
Mitchell
Last 8: Spezza 3-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Spezza
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
3
Spezza
Mitchell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
50.3% (334)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
45.6% (57)
+4.4%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Spezza is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Spezza shoots right. Mitchell is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Spezza
Mitchell
Home
61.4% (352)
50.0% (172)
Away
50.9% (395)
49.3% (219)
By Period
Spezza
Mitchell
P1
60.6%
55.1%
P2
54.8%
46.6%
P3
52.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |