Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Torrey Mitchell
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% vs Mitchell 54.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 82.0%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 66.2%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 3-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,011)
53.8% (595)
-8.8%
Power Play
46.7% (135)
66.7% (6)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (122)
57.0% (151)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Mitchell is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
Home
43.8% (625)
57.9% (375)
Away
43.9% (643)
51.2% (377)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Mitchell
P1
47.8%
57.9%
P2
39.5%
47.5%
P3
44.2%
58.8%
OT
61.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |