Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 88.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 65.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Mitchell
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Mitchell
Bozak
Last 10: Mitchell 9-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Mitchell
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
10
4
Mitchell
Bozak
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Mitchell
Bozak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,523)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
55.2% (1,990)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (473)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Mitchell shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Bozak
Home
52.1% (1,521)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.5% (1,512)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Mitchell
Bozak
P1
54.8%
53.2%
P2
48.1%
52.8%
P3
49.6%
54.5%
OT
55.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |