Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mitchell wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.7% vs Seguin 54.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 61.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 69.2%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 66.7%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Mitchell
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mitchell
Seguin
Last 7: Mitchell 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Mitchell
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Mitchell
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (334)
55.1% (1,036)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
52.2% (230)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Mitchell is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Mitchell shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Seguin
Home
50.0% (172)
58.9% (703)
Away
49.3% (219)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Mitchell
Seguin
P1
55.1%
54.5%
P2
46.6%
53.7%
P3
46.7%
57.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
49.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |