Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kerfoot wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 55.0% vs Boyd 40.6% (+19.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 94.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 83.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 90.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Kerfoot
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kerfoot
Boyd
Last 5: Kerfoot 5-0 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
0
Kerfoot
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (457)
36.1% (183)
+20.4%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
46.2% (13)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
28.6% (14)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Boyd has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Kerfoot is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Kerfoot shoots left. Boyd is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Boyd
Home
60.8% (237)
41.7% (115)
Away
51.6% (252)
29.5% (95)
By Period
Kerfoot
Boyd
P1
56.8%
38.8%
P2
50.9%
30.3%
P3
60.0%
40.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
56.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |