Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Boyd 43.9% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 95.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 93.9%
93.9%
6.1%
Toews
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Toews
Boyd
Last 8: Toews 7-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Boyd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
43.4% (893)
+17.7%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
51.5% (136)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
34.6% (127)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Toews
Boyd
Home
64.8% (560)
46.0% (570)
Away
60.6% (381)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Toews
Boyd
P1
62.3%
38.9%
P2
63.9%
50.4%
P3
62.8%
41.1%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |