Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Boyd 43.9% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 76.6%
Defensive zone
Boyd 61.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Johansen
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johansen
Boyd
Last 5: Johansen 2-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Johansen
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
43.4% (893)
+16.4%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
51.5% (136)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
34.6% (127)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Johansen shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Johansen
Boyd
Home
60.3% (436)
46.0% (570)
Away
58.0% (412)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Johansen
Boyd
P1
61.3%
38.9%
P2
60.4%
50.4%
P3
56.0%
41.1%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |