Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Konecny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Konecny 44.5% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Konecny 95.0%
Defensive zone
Konecny 63.5%
Neutral zone
Konecny 85.0%
Result
Travis Konecny favored at 95.0%
5.0%
95.0%
Evans
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Evans
Konecny
Last 5: Evans 0-5 Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Konecny
0
5
Evans
Konecny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
38.5% (78)
+15.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
50.0% (18)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
0.0% (4)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Konecny is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Evans
Konecny
Home
55.1% (541)
42.3% (52)
Away
50.8% (581)
35.4% (48)
By Period
Evans
Konecny
P1
51.8%
45.2%
P2
53.3%
29.8%
P3
53.8%
52.4%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Konecny
36.0%▼
40.0%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |