Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Morin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morin 49.5% vs Smith 48.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Morin 60.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.5%
Result
Travis Morin favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Morin
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Morin
Smith
Last 5: Morin 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Morin
2
1
Morin
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Morin
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Morin
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morin
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (108)
49.0% (769)
-0.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
63.6% (22)
+11.4%
On power play, Morin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Morin is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Morin shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Morin
Smith
Home
45.2% (42)
52.4% (490)
Away
51.4% (70)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Morin
Smith
P1
45.0%
46.9%
P2
56.1%
51.2%
P3
45.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morin
46.0%▼
49.1%
49.1%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Travis Morin |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Travis Morin |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |