Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Morin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Morin wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Morin 48.8% vs Smith 51.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Morin 65.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 64.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.3%
Result
Travis Morin favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Morin
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Morin
Smith
Last 5: Morin 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Morin
2
1
Morin
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Morin
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Morin
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Morin
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (57)
53.7% (449)
-8.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
80.0% (10)
-13.3%
On power play, Smith has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Morin is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Morin shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Morin
Smith
Home
50.0% (18)
55.0% (280)
Away
45.2% (42)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Morin
Smith
P1
47.6%
52.3%
P2
56.5%
52.1%
P3
31.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
26.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Morin
46.0%▼
49.1%
46.7%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Travis Morin |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Travis Morin |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |