Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Zajac 50.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 53.7%
Defensive zone
Zajac 80.4%
Neutral zone
Zajac 66.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Matthews
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Matthews
Zajac
Last 6: Matthews 1-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Matthews
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
4
Matthews
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
50.8% (775)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
61.5% (117)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
45.0% (202)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Matthews is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Matthews shoots left. Zajac is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zajac
Home
59.8% (351)
52.2% (536)
Away
49.0% (337)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Matthews
Zajac
P1
58.0%
53.6%
P2
49.6%
50.9%
P3
55.4%
48.7%
OT
83.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |