Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.6%). Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Zajac 51.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 64.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 63.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 64.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Boyle
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Boyle
Zajac
Last 7: Boyle 2-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Boyle
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Boyle
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
51.8% (986)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
61.1% (185)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
42.1% (216)
+0.2%
On power play, Zajac has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Boyle is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Boyle shoots left. Zajac is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Boyle
Zajac
Home
52.4% (315)
54.0% (672)
Away
49.3% (367)
49.2% (715)
By Period
Boyle
Zajac
P1
51.1%
53.1%
P2
52.6%
52.2%
P3
48.3%
50.1%
OT
100.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |