Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Zajac 52.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 70.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 81.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 57.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Dvorak
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dvorak
Zajac
Last 9: Dvorak 3-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Dvorak
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Dvorak
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
53.9% (851)
+0.1%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
49.0% (49)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
48.9% (190)
+8.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Dvorak is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Dvorak shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Zajac
Home
58.6% (444)
53.3% (533)
Away
52.1% (505)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Dvorak
Zajac
P1
54.5%
54.3%
P2
53.6%
51.8%
P3
57.1%
53.2%
OT
56.3%
14.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |