Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Zajac 50.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 51.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 50.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 50.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
MacKenzie
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKenzie
Zajac
Last 5: MacKenzie 2-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
MacKenzie
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
MacKenzie
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
50.8% (775)
+4.9%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
61.5% (117)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
45.0% (202)
-3.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. Zajac is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Zajac
Home
51.3% (312)
52.2% (536)
Away
52.9% (293)
49.6% (558)
By Period
MacKenzie
Zajac
P1
50.5%
53.6%
P2
48.8%
50.9%
P3
57.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |