Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Zajac 56.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 58.7%
Defensive zone
Vitale 54.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 51.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Vitale
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Vitale
Zajac
Last 6: Vitale 2-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Vitale
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Vitale
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
56.6% (641)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.9% (148)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
51.1% (92)
+48.9%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +48.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Vitale is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Vitale shoots right. Zajac is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Vitale
Zajac
Home
62.8% (121)
57.2% (444)
Away
59.6% (136)
57.7% (437)
By Period
Vitale
Zajac
P1
51.8%
54.4%
P2
57.1%
61.5%
P3
73.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
65.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |