Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mitchell wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.0% vs Zajac 54.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 80.6%
Defensive zone
Zajac 51.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 73.6%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Mitchell
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Mitchell
Zajac
Last 7: Mitchell 5-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mitchell
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (607)
55.7% (1,020)
-5.1%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
52.7% (201)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (92)
50.3% (173)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Mitchell is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Mitchell shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Zajac
Home
52.0% (406)
54.9% (685)
Away
47.7% (342)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Mitchell
Zajac
P1
51.6%
54.6%
P2
44.0%
55.5%
P3
55.0%
54.2%
OT
42.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 16, 2014 | OT | 01:50 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | John Mitchell |