Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mitchell wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.0% vs Zajac 51.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 51.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 65.6%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 59.6%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Mitchell
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Mitchell
Zajac
Last 8: Mitchell 2-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Mitchell
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Mitchell
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (676)
51.8% (986)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
61.1% (185)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (155)
42.1% (216)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Mitchell is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Mitchell shoots left. Zajac is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Zajac
Home
52.2% (450)
54.0% (672)
Away
45.1% (399)
49.2% (715)
By Period
Mitchell
Zajac
P1
51.2%
53.1%
P2
50.2%
52.2%
P3
44.8%
50.1%
OT
80.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | John Mitchell |