Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.6%). Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Zajac 54.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Staal
Zajac
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
5
Staal
Zajac
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Zajac
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
8
Staal
Zajac
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
55.7% (1,020)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
52.7% (201)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
50.3% (173)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
54.7% (720)
54.9% (685)
Away
54.0% (757)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
51.2%
54.6%
P2
57.4%
55.5%
P3
54.6%
54.2%
OT
52.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |