Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Zajac 53.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.3%
Defensive zone
Zajac 67.8%
Neutral zone
Zajac 58.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Staal
Zajac
Last 8: Staal 3-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Staal
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Staal
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
53.6% (932)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
55.0% (129)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
50.4% (139)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
57.8% (510)
55.8% (661)
Away
54.4% (375)
50.5% (539)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
55.1%
55.7%
P2
56.8%
50.0%
P3
57.1%
54.1%
OT
62.5%
63.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |