Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lehtera wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 49.2% vs Zajac 54.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 89.8%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 68.1%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 77.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Lehtera
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lehtera
Zajac
Last 6: Lehtera 1-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Lehtera
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Lehtera
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (728)
54.1% (1,208)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (82)
60.9% (230)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
50.3% (179)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Lehtera is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Lehtera shoots left. Zajac is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Zajac
Home
50.6% (443)
56.3% (778)
Away
47.6% (389)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Lehtera
Zajac
P1
52.6%
56.3%
P2
48.6%
54.6%
P3
46.3%
53.1%
OT
55.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |