Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 49.7% vs Zajac 54.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 78.2%
Defensive zone
Bailey 79.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 77.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Bailey
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bailey
Zajac
Last 5: Bailey 1-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Bailey
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Bailey
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (170)
55.7% (1,020)
-6.9%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
52.7% (201)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
50.3% (173)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Bailey is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Bailey shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Bailey
Zajac
Home
51.3% (156)
54.9% (685)
Away
45.8% (72)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Bailey
Zajac
P1
50.0%
54.6%
P2
45.6%
55.5%
P3
52.9%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
49.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |