Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 46.9% vs Zajac 50.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 53.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 54.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 51.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Shaw
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Shaw
Zajac
Last 8: Shaw 4-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Shaw
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (157)
50.8% (775)
-4.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.5% (117)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (43)
45.0% (202)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Shaw is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Shaw shoots right. Zajac is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Shaw
Zajac
Home
44.8% (96)
52.2% (536)
Away
45.8% (107)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Shaw
Zajac
P1
46.3%
53.6%
P2
45.6%
50.9%
P3
43.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |