Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Zajac 50.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 65.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 58.1%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Hanzal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hanzal
Zajac
Last 8: Hanzal 5-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Hanzal
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
1
Hanzal
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (321)
50.8% (775)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
61.5% (117)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (80)
45.0% (202)
+1.3%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Hanzal is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Hanzal shoots left. Zajac is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Zajac
Home
58.6% (220)
52.2% (536)
Away
51.4% (214)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Hanzal
Zajac
P1
58.3%
53.6%
P2
56.7%
50.9%
P3
50.4%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |