Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Zajac 54.2% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 66.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 51.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 58.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Barzal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
25
(48 meetings)
23
25
Barzal
Zajac
Last 10: Barzal 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
16
7
Barzal
Zajac
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
4
Barzal
Zajac
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
5
14
Barzal
Zajac
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
54.4% (9,056)
-12.5%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
59.1% (1,498)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
48.6% (1,599)
-6.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Barzal shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Barzal
Zajac
Home
43.1% (1,895)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Barzal
Zajac
P1
40.7%
53.8%
P2
44.4%
55.6%
P3
41.0%
53.6%
OT
27.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
39.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |