Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.4% vs Zajac 57.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Thompson
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Thompson
Zajac
Last 9: Thompson 3-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
4
Thompson
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Thompson
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
58.7% (1,044)
-4.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
59.2% (211)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (113)
53.9% (191)
-2.6%
On power play, Zajac has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Thompson is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Thompson shoots left. Zajac is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,002).
Home / Away
Thompson
Zajac
Home
55.6% (329)
60.2% (741)
Away
52.4% (431)
56.0% (705)
By Period
Thompson
Zajac
P1
55.3%
53.1%
P2
48.1%
62.0%
P3
58.4%
59.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |