Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Zajac 52.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 66.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 65.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 66.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Thompson
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Thompson
Zajac
Last 10: Thompson 3-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
5
Thompson
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
53.9% (851)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
49.0% (49)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
48.9% (190)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Thompson shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Thompson
Zajac
Home
57.0% (421)
53.3% (533)
Away
52.7% (366)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Thompson
Zajac
P1
57.9%
54.3%
P2
52.3%
51.8%
P3
55.2%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 28, 2019 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |