Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 47.5% vs Zajac 53.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 86.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 77.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 78.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
MacKinnon
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
MacKinnon
Zajac
Last 6: MacKinnon 1-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
MacKinnon
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
MacKinnon
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
MacKinnon
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (365)
53.6% (932)
-8.4%
Power Play
57.1% (63)
55.0% (129)
+2.1%
On even strength, Zajac has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (129).
MacKinnon shoots right. Zajac is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Zajac
Home
48.0% (225)
55.8% (661)
Away
45.8% (203)
50.5% (539)
By Period
MacKinnon
Zajac
P1
41.1%
55.7%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
48.9%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
63.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |