Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 62.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 57.3% vs Zajac 53.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 68.0%
Defensive zone
Zajac 66.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 66.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Stastny
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stastny
Zajac
Last 5: Stastny 1-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Stastny
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Stastny
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (959)
53.6% (932)
+4.0%
Power Play
60.8% (125)
55.0% (129)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (74)
50.4% (139)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Stastny shoots left. Zajac is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Stastny
Zajac
Home
55.9% (590)
55.8% (661)
Away
60.0% (568)
50.5% (539)
By Period
Stastny
Zajac
P1
59.6%
55.7%
P2
59.0%
50.0%
P3
55.3%
54.1%
OT
58.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
65.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |