Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.8%). Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.9% vs Zajac 52.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 76.0%
Defensive zone
Zajac 61.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Johansen
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Johansen
Zajac
Last 9: Johansen 3-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Johansen
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Johansen
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (845)
53.9% (851)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.8% (102)
49.0% (49)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (85)
48.9% (190)
-4.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Johansen shoots right. Zajac is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Johansen
Zajac
Home
53.2% (479)
53.3% (533)
Away
53.2% (553)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Johansen
Zajac
P1
53.8%
54.3%
P2
53.9%
51.8%
P3
52.0%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |