Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Pahlsson wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 51.9% vs Zajac 54.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 54.7%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 90.7%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 70.4%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Pahlsson
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pahlsson
Zajac
Last 5: Pahlsson 1-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Pahlsson
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Pahlsson
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pahlsson
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (934)
53.9% (958)
-2.1%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
67.1% (146)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (332)
52.5% (139)
-0.1%
On power play, Zajac has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Pahlsson shoots left. Zajac is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Zajac
Home
56.5% (628)
55.5% (627)
Away
47.8% (670)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Pahlsson
Zajac
P1
55.9%
51.7%
P2
49.4%
58.5%
P3
50.8%
56.0%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |