Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 52.3% vs Zajac 54.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.7%
Defensive zone
Zajac 56.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 55.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Stamkos
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Stamkos
Zajac
Last 10: Stamkos 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
4
Stamkos
Zajac
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Stamkos
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (179)
54.1% (1,208)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.9% (230)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
50.3% (179)
-10.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stamkos is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Stamkos shoots right. Zajac is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Zajac
Home
57.4% (108)
56.3% (778)
Away
48.9% (90)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Stamkos
Zajac
P1
53.4%
56.3%
P2
51.7%
54.6%
P3
55.6%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |