Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stamkos wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 53.8% vs Zajac 52.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 73.2%
Neutral zone
Zajac 52.9%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Stamkos
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stamkos
Zajac
Last 6: Stamkos 2-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Stamkos
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stamkos
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (460)
53.9% (851)
+0.2%
Power Play
64.2% (106)
49.0% (49)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (106)
48.9% (190)
-3.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stamkos is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Stamkos shoots right. Zajac is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Zajac
Home
58.2% (328)
53.3% (533)
Away
50.6% (344)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Stamkos
Zajac
P1
57.5%
54.3%
P2
53.1%
51.8%
P3
52.7%
53.2%
OT
60.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |