Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stapleton wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stapleton 48.9% vs Zajac 54.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 70.5%
Defensive zone
Stapleton 67.3%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 67.6%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Stapleton
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stapleton
Zajac
Last 9: Stapleton 3-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
0
Stapleton
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Stapleton
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
4
Stapleton
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stapleton
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (214)
53.9% (958)
-6.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
67.1% (146)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
52.5% (139)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Stapleton has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stapleton is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Stapleton shoots right. Zajac is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Stapleton
Zajac
Home
49.6% (115)
55.5% (627)
Away
47.3% (110)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Stapleton
Zajac
P1
54.1%
51.7%
P2
46.3%
58.5%
P3
45.7%
56.0%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |