Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zajac wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 54.3% vs Johnson 48.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 93.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 85.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 86.2%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Zajac
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Zajac
Johnson
Last 9: Zajac 7-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
0
Zajac
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
4
2
Zajac
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,020)
48.7% (941)
+7.0%
Power Play
52.7% (201)
49.6% (133)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (173)
44.8% (201)
+5.5%
On even strength, Zajac has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zajac is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Zajac shoots right. Johnson is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Zajac
Johnson
Home
54.9% (685)
50.5% (588)
Away
54.3% (709)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Zajac
Johnson
P1
54.6%
49.4%
P2
55.5%
47.3%
P3
54.2%
48.1%
OT
48.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |