Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 54.4% vs Johnson 51.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 61.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Zajac
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Zajac
Johnson
Last 10: Zajac 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
4
Zajac
Johnson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Zajac
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Zajac
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,208)
51.2% (825)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.9% (230)
56.9% (160)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
51.1% (137)
-0.8%
On power play, Zajac has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zajac is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (517).
Zajac shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Zajac
Johnson
Home
56.3% (778)
56.9% (583)
Away
53.2% (839)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Zajac
Johnson
P1
56.3%
55.1%
P2
54.6%
53.0%
P3
53.1%
48.8%
OT
55.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |