Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Zajac wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 54.4% vs Rask 49.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 72.3%
Defensive zone
Zajac 93.6%
Neutral zone
Zajac 83.5%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Zajac
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Zajac
Rask
Last 10: Zajac 9-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zajac
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
6
1
Zajac
Rask
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
1
Zajac
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,208)
48.7% (809)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.9% (230)
60.0% (90)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
47.4% (19)
+2.9%
On even strength, Zajac has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Zajac is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Zajac shoots right. Rask is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Zajac
Rask
Home
56.3% (778)
51.4% (420)
Away
53.2% (839)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Zajac
Rask
P1
56.3%
49.1%
P2
54.6%
50.2%
P3
53.1%
50.3%
OT
55.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |