Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Lewis 41.4% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 89.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 85.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 91.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
MacKenzie
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Lewis
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
39.6% (351)
+12.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
33.3% (27)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. MacKenzie is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
MacKenzie shoots left. Lewis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Lewis
Home
51.7% (232)
38.2% (178)
Away
52.3% (241)
40.1% (207)
By Period
MacKenzie
Lewis
P1
47.9%
39.9%
P2
51.8%
40.1%
P3
55.4%
36.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |