Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 51.8% vs Lewis 45.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 51.7%
Defensive zone
Colborne 50.7%
Neutral zone
Colborne 50.3%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Colborne
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Colborne
Lewis
Last 6: Colborne 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Colborne
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (284)
43.0% (158)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
37.5% (8)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
45.5% (11)
+8.3%
On power play, Colborne has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Colborne is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Colborne shoots left. Lewis is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Colborne
Lewis
Home
60.7% (163)
50.0% (92)
Away
44.5% (173)
35.3% (85)
By Period
Colborne
Lewis
P1
59.3%
44.6%
P2
47.0%
41.1%
P3
52.4%
43.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
32.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |