Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Lewis 44.8% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 73.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 93.9%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 91.4%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Mitchell
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mitchell
Lewis
Last 5: Mitchell 4-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
1
Mitchell
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
38.5% (91)
+17.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
54.5% (11)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
37.5% (8)
+13.7%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Mitchell shoots left. Lewis is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Lewis
Home
61.9% (265)
45.7% (46)
Away
49.1% (273)
35.9% (64)
By Period
Mitchell
Lewis
P1
54.9%
48.5%
P2
56.8%
34.6%
P3
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |