Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Lewis 44.3% (+20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 50.8%
Defensive zone
Lewis 52.7%
Neutral zone
Lewis 61.7%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Toews
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Toews
Lewis
Last 5: Toews 2-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Toews
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Toews
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
41.8% (251)
+19.3%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
45.5% (11)
+26.4%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
44.7% (47)
+14.9%
On power play, Toews has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Toews
Lewis
Home
64.8% (560)
39.2% (166)
Away
60.6% (381)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Toews
Lewis
P1
62.3%
45.2%
P2
63.9%
43.8%
P3
62.8%
37.8%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |