Scouting Report
Trevor Lewis holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Jokinen wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 42.8% vs Lewis 45.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 52.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 58.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 56.6%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Jokinen
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jokinen
Lewis
Last 6: Jokinen 2-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Jokinen
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Jokinen
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (275)
43.0% (158)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
45.5% (11)
-6.5%
On power play, Jokinen has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Jokinen is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Jokinen shoots left. Lewis is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Lewis
Home
37.9% (145)
50.0% (92)
Away
42.7% (185)
35.3% (85)
By Period
Jokinen
Lewis
P1
48.2%
44.6%
P2
38.5%
41.1%
P3
34.7%
43.1%
Final 5 min
40.5%
32.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |