Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nosek wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 51.4% vs Lewis 47.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 70.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 81.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 59.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Nosek
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nosek
Lewis
Last 7: Nosek 5-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
1
Nosek
Lewis
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
0
Nosek
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nosek
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (400)
46.0% (189)
+7.0%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
100.0% (2)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (44)
42.9% (7)
+2.6%
On power play, Lewis has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Nosek shoots left. Lewis is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Nosek
Lewis
Home
49.6% (244)
43.3% (90)
Away
54.2% (212)
49.1% (108)
By Period
Nosek
Lewis
P1
53.1%
46.9%
P2
51.4%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |