Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Smith 51.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 59.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 77.3%
Neutral zone
McClement 66.3%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
McClement
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McClement
Smith
Last 6: McClement 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
McClement
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
4
0
McClement
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
53.7% (449)
+3.4%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
80.0% (10)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
43.1% (102)
+7.9%
On power play, Smith has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
McClement
Smith
Home
55.8% (475)
55.0% (280)
Away
55.1% (515)
49.5% (281)
By Period
McClement
Smith
P1
55.6%
52.3%
P2
57.3%
52.1%
P3
53.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jay McClement |