Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Smith 51.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 81.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.2%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 51.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Lehtera
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lehtera
Smith
Last 9: Lehtera 2-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
1
Lehtera
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Lehtera
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Lehtera
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
53.7% (449)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
80.0% (10)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
43.1% (102)
+16.0%
On power play, Smith has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Lehtera shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Smith
Home
55.6% (549)
55.0% (280)
Away
46.5% (512)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Lehtera
Smith
P1
53.8%
52.3%
P2
48.9%
52.1%
P3
50.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |