Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 42.8% vs Smith 51.9% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 73.0%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 68.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 72.5%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Jokinen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jokinen
Smith
Last 5: Jokinen 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Jokinen
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Jokinen
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (275)
53.7% (449)
-13.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
80.0% (10)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
43.1% (102)
-4.1%
On power play, Smith has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Jokinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jokinen shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Smith
Home
37.9% (145)
55.0% (280)
Away
42.7% (185)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Jokinen
Smith
P1
48.2%
52.3%
P2
38.5%
52.1%
P3
34.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |