Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Leino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 48.7% vs Leino 46.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 78.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.7%
Neutral zone
Leino 56.3%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Smith
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Smith
Leino
Last 8: Smith 3-5 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Leino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
1
4
Smith
Leino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
46.1% (596)
+2.9%
Power Play
63.6% (22)
42.1% (57)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (118)
33.3% (6)
+9.1%
On power play, Smith has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Smith shoots left. Leino is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Smith
Leino
Home
52.4% (490)
46.1% (334)
Away
44.0% (420)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Smith
Leino
P1
46.9%
45.9%
P2
51.2%
44.8%
P3
47.7%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ville Leino |